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Options and Futures: Valuation and Strategies
Type: MD
Complété

Mechanics of Options and Futures Markets

Introduction to Options and Futures

Options and futures are financial derivatives, which are contracts whose value derives from the performance of underlying entities such as assets, indices, or interest rates. They play a crucial role in financial markets by providing mechanisms for price discovery and risk management.

Options give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price before or at a specific expiration date. There are two primary types of options: call options, which give the right to buy, and put options, which give the right to sell.

Futures are standardized contracts obligating the buyer to purchase, or the seller to sell, an underlying asset at a predetermined future date and price. Unlike options, futures contracts are binding agreements, and both parties must fulfill the terms of the contract.

Market Structure and Participants

Options and futures markets consist of several key participants, including hedgers, speculators, and arbitrageurs. Hedgers use derivatives to reduce the risk of adverse price movements in an asset. Speculators attempt to profit from anticipating market movements, while arbitrageurs exploit price inefficiencies between markets for profit.

Exchanges facilitate the trading of these contracts, with prominent exchanges including the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Clearinghouses are crucial for ensuring the integrity and stability of the derivatives market, acting as intermediaries between buyers and sellers to guarantee contract performance.

Pricing Models

Options Pricing Models

The valuation of options is a fundamental aspect of derivatives markets. The most widely used model for pricing options is the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model. This model calculates the theoretical price of European call and put options based on several assumptions, including constant volatility and a log-normal distribution of underlying asset prices.

Black-Scholes-Merton Model

The BSM model formula for a European call option is:

[ C = S_0 N(d_1) - X e^{-rT} N(d_2) ]

Where:

  • ( C ) = Call option price
  • ( S_0 ) = Current stock price
  • ( X ) = Strike price
  • ( r ) = Risk-free interest rate
  • ( T ) = Time to expiration
  • ( N ) = Cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution
  • ( d_1 ) and ( d_2 ) are intermediary calculations:

[ d_1 = \frac{\ln(\frac{S_0}{X}) + (r + \frac{\sigma^2}{2})T}{\sigma \sqrt{T}} ]

[ d_2 = d_1 - \sigma \sqrt{T} ]

Volatility, a measure of the uncertainty or risk of changes in an asset's value, plays a critical role in the pricing of options. Implied volatility is particularly significant as it reflects the market's expectations of future volatility.

Futures Pricing Models

The pricing of futures contracts is based on the concept of cost of carry, which incorporates the storage, financing, and convenience yield of holding the underlying asset.

The futures price ( F ) can be expressed as:

[ F = S_0 e^{(r + c - y)T} ]

Where:

  • ( S_0 ) = Spot price of the underlying asset
  • ( r ) = Risk-free interest rate
  • ( c ) = Cost of carry
  • ( y ) = Convenience yield
  • ( T ) = Time to expiration

Strategic Uses

Hedging Strategies

Options and futures provide effective tools for managing financial risk. Hedging involves taking a position in a derivative to offset potential losses in an asset. For example, a wheat farmer anticipating a poor harvest might sell wheat futures to lock in a favorable price.

Protective puts are options strategies where investors purchase put options on a stock they own to guard against potential losses.

Speculative Strategies

Investors may also use derivatives for speculative purposes. Leverage allows speculators to control large positions with relatively small capital investment. A trader might use call options to speculate on a rise in stock price, benefiting from the leverage effect of options contracts.

Arbitrage Opportunities

Arbitrage exploits price discrepancies between markets. For example, put-call parity provides an arbitrage opportunity if there is a mispricing between a call and a put option with the same strike price and expiration.

The put-call parity relationship is given by:

[ C - P = S_0 - X e^{-rT} ]

Where:

  • ( C ) = Call option price
  • ( P ) = Put option price

If this relationship does not hold, arbitrageurs can execute trades to earn a risk-free profit.

Conclusion

Understanding the mechanics, pricing models, and strategic uses of options and futures is essential for navigating the complex world of financial derivatives. These instruments offer powerful tools for risk management and profit generation, but they require a thorough understanding of their underlying principles and market dynamics.

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